Preston Stearns vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance: In recent tracks, Stearns holds a lead with Stearns winning 49.32% on second serve points compared to Caniato's 45.87%. Could this give Stearns an upper hand?
• Return game advantage: Stearns again edges out Caniato by capturing 42.6% of opponents' second serve points versus Caniato's 40.61%. On first serve returns, Stearns further excels with 31.59% over Caniato's 23.49%.
• Under pressure effectiveness: Stearns has a higher breakpoint saving percentage at 62.86%, compared to Caniato's 53.76%, suggesting Stearns may handle pressure situations better.
• Recent match performance: Caniato emerges stronger in recent form, winning 62.9% of matches (39/23), while Stearns has only secured 36.36% (4/7) of matches played.
• Surface specialization: Caniato thrives on clay with a 59% win rate but struggles on indoor hard courts. Conversely, Stearns' top performance surfaces are hard courts with a 43% win rate, yet they fall short on clay.
• Tournament level performance: Caniato has been more successful in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events with a 66.67% win rate, while Stearns has won 40% at the same level.
• Opponent ranking comparison: Stearns has faced higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 256.09, whereas Caniato's opponents averaged 378.87, which may add to Stearns' experience.
• Deciding set performance: In matches extending to deciding sets, Caniato shows a slightly better success rate at 33% compared to Stearns' 17%.
• Breakpoint conversion: Stearns demonstrates greater efficiency, converting 43.24% of breakpoints compared to Caniato's 35.77%, potentially influencing match dynamics if break opportunities arise.

Editorial Prediction (September 14, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming match between Caniato and Stearns, it's important to weigh their strengths and potential weaknesses based on the data.

Stearns showcases a superior second serve performance and breakpoint conversion, greatly influencing match success. These strengths are further bolstered by a strong return game, which could present a challenge for Caniato, especially in moments of serving vulnerability.

Caniato, however, boasts an overall better match win percentage, suggesting a more consistent performance in matches over the last year. The advantage shown in deciding set scenarios further establishes their resilience in critical moments.

Ultimately, while Caniato's performance metrics show impressive consistency, Stearns' edge in crucial statistical areas like second serve efficiency, returns, and breakpoint handling suggests a slight advantage. Therefore, based on the collected data and trends, Stearns is poised to be the more likely victor in this match.